2017 British Open Odds and Preview
The 2017 British Open (also know as the Open Championship) will be the 146th playing of the tournament, and takes place from July 20-23 at the Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, England. This is the 10th time that the British Open will be played at this course. The last time was in 2008 when Padraig Harrington successfully defended his title. The course is a par-70 and is 7,173 yards in length.
Here are the past winners and their consensus pre-tournament odds since 2006:
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YearWinning GolferOdds to WinTiger’s Odds to win 2016Henrik Stenson+3600DNP 2015Zach Johnson+12500+3000 2014Rory Mcilroy+1500+1600 2013Phil Mickelson+1800+800 2012Ernie Els+3050+1200 2011Darren Clarke+12500DNP 2010Louis Oosthuizen+15000+500 2009Stewart Cink+5000+175 2008Padraig Harrington+1600DNP 2007Padraig Harrington+2000+225 2006Tiger Woods+600+600
Here are the odds to win the 2017 Open Championship:
GolferJuly 19 PM (5Dimes)July 19 AM (5Dimes)July 17 (5Dimes)June 19 (5Dimes)January 9 (Bovada) Jordan Spieth+1315+1315+1385+1100+1100 Dustin Johnson+1390+1390+1280+700+900 Rickie Fowler+1390+1390+1385+2000+3300 Jon Rahm+1455+1455+1405+2200+8000 Sergio Garcia+1540+1540+1535+1600+2200 Rory McIlroy+1675+1675+1670+900+900 Justin Rose+1760+1760+1670+1800+2500 Hideki Matsuyama+1960+1960+1955+2000+2200 Tommy Fleetwood+2105+2105+2105+3500N/A Henrik Stenson+2475+2475+2470+1600+1600 Adam Scott+2475+2475+2470+2500+2500 Jason Day+3135+3135+2870+1400+900 Paul Casey+3500+3500+3500+4000+6600 Brooks Koepka+3600+3600+3800+2500N/A Marc Leishman+3700+3900+5000+6600+10000 Phil Mickelson+4000+4000+4000+3300+3300 Alex Noren+4500+4800+4500+4000+6600 Matt Kuchar+4500+5000+6500+6600+6600 Louis Oosthuizen+5000+5000+4500+3500+5500 Branden Grace+5500+4800+5000+4000+3300 Thomas Pieters+6600+6600+5000+3300+5500 Padraig Harrington+6600+6600+7000+12500+15000 Justin Thomas+6600+7000+7000+3500+6600 Rafa Cabrera-Bello+7500+6600+7000+8000+10000 Shane Lowry+7500+8000+8500+6600+6600 Zach Johnson+8000+8000+8500+6600+6600 Lee Westwood+8000+8500+7500+6600+6600 Patrick Reed+8500+7500+7000+5500+5000 Ian Poulter+8500+8500+8500+8000+9000 Francesco Molinari+8500+9000+13500+10000+12500 Steve Stricker+8500+9500+15000+15000+15000 Daniel Berger+9000+9000+9000+11000+10000 Charl Schwartzel+9000+9000+11000+6600+6600 Byeong-Hun An+9000+11000+20000+10000+12500 Tony Finau+9500+9500+15000+15000+12500 Matthew Fitzpatrick+10000+9500+11000+6600+8000 Ross Fisher+11000+9500+11000+10000+15000 Andy Sullivan+10000+10000+12500+12500+10000 Bernd Wiesberger+10000+13500+18500+12500+15000 Soren Kjeldsen+11000+11000+16000+12500+15000 Brian Harman+11000+11000+18500N/AN/A Chris Wood+11500+10000+13000+8000+10000 Bill Haas+12000+13500+20000+15000N/A Martin Kaymer+12500+13500+14000+5500+5500 Tyrrell Hatton+13500+11000+12500+5000+8000 Kevin Kisner+13500+15000+12500+10000+15000 Jason Dufner+13500+16500+20000+10000+15000 Thorbjorn Olesen+15000+15000+17500+15000+15000 Ryan Fox+15000+18500+18500N/AN/A Russell Henley+15000+19000+25000N/AN/A Andrew Johnston+17500+19000+19000+15000+15000 J.B. Holmes+17500+20000+19000+10000+9000 Kyle Stanley+17500+35000+33000N/AN/A Emiliano Grillo+18500+30000+30000+12500+1000 Charles Howell III+19000+19000+37500N/AN/A Bryson DeChambeau+19000+20000+17500+15000N/A Kevin Chappell+19000+26000+27500+12500+15000 Charley Hoffman+20000+20000+20000+12500+15000 Si Woo Kim+20000+21000+27500N/AN/A Bubba Watson+21000+21000+30000+9000+6600 Wesley Bryan+22500+27500+27500N/AN/A Xander Schauffele+25000+28500+37500N/AN/A Jimmy Walker+25000+32500+32500+10000+10000 Ernie Els+26500+55000+45000+25000+17500 Hideto Tanihara+28500+28500+28500N/AN/A Webb Simpson+28500+34500+45000+20000+15000 Gary Woodland+30000+40000+40000+12500+17500 Anirban Lahiri+31000+42500+43000N/AN/A Brendan Steele+33000+40000+45000N/AN/A Jamie Lovemark+33500+35000+40000N/AN/A Ryan Moore+33500+36500+35000+15000+15000 Adam Hadwin+37500+51000+50000N/AN/A Billy Horschel+37500+37500+35000+15000N/A Stewart Cink+38500+37500+40000N/AN/A Alexander Levy+40000+23500+48500N/AN/A Russell Knox+40000+38500+35000+9000+10000 Danny Willett+40000+63500+48500+12500+6600 Matthew Southgate+43500+43500+37500+25000N/A Cameron Smith+43500+45000+38500N/AN/A Peter Uihlein+48500+25000+27500N/AN/A William McGirt+48500+60000+45000N/AN/A Joost Luiten+48500+43500+32500+17500N/A Richie Ramsay+50000+50000+40000N/AN/A Sung Kang+60000+80000+30000N/AN/A Kevin Na+61000+61000+50000+17500+15000 Haotong Li+63500+65000+50000N/AN/A Sean O’Hair+75000+68500+25000N/AN/A Thongchai Jaidee+100000+82500+69000+20000N/A John Daly+100000+100000+90000N/AN/A Darren Clarke+100000+100000+100000+50000N/A All Other Golfers+50000 or higher+50000 or higher+50000 or higherN/AN/A Brandt SnedekerN/AN/A+9000+8000+8000 Tiger WoodsN/AN/AN/AN/A+2500 Harris EnglishN/AN/AN/A+17500N/A Luke DonaldN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000 Jamie DonaldsonN/AN/AN/A+20000N/A Victor DubuissonN/AN/AN/A+20000+17500 Graeme McDowellN/AN/AN/A+10000+12500 Scott PiercyN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000 Nicolas ColsaertsN/AN/AN/A+15000+17500 Matteo ManasseroN/AN/AN/A+25000N/A Jim FurykN/AN/AN/A+12500+8000 Keegan BradleyN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000 Ryan PalmerN/AN/AN/A+15000+15000
Dustin Johnson remains the +1280 favorite despite missing the cut at the US Open and missing The Masters altogether. Brooks Koepka, the 2017 US Open winner, is +3800. Sergio Garcia, the 2017 Masters winner, is +1535. Henrik Stenson, last year’s Open Championship winner, is +2470.
Since January, Jon Rahm has made a significant jump from +8000 to +1405 and is one of the favorites to win. Tommy Fleetwood wasn’t even listed back in January but has very favorable odds at +2105. Koepka also wasn’t listed back in January but his win at the US Open has propelled him into a contender.
Readmore: Sam | 60S Today
We were able to pick the winner of this year’s Masters and US Open, and we’ll try to do the same for the British Open. Here are our best value plays:
Dan McGuire: Hideki Matsuyama (+2250 at Bookmaker)
Matsuyama has really been making a name for himself over the last few years and his odds to win the British Open have hovered around +2000 since January. He has a Top-10 finish in every major including a 6th-place finish at his first Open Championship in 2013, and 2nd-place at this year’s US Open. I like his all-around game despite not being the best putter, and it seems like he can put together a great round at any course. Conditions usually aren’t ideal at this tournament, so his driving accuracy and scrambling will be crucial. Always shop around the market for the best line, and you can grab Matsuyama at +2250 at Bookmaker.
Kramer: Matt Kuchar (+6500 at 5Dimes)
Royal Birkdale is expected to give golfers a rough time this year. This will be the third time the course has hosted The Open since 1998 and since then, it has yielded two of the three worst winning scores compared to par (+3 in 2008, even in 1998) for the tournament. At the moment, rain is forecasted for three of the four days with winds hovering around 20 mph each day. 5Dimes has the winning score set for 275.5 (o-140), which is between -4 and -5.
All this being said, a golfer that can handle the elements and the course style will prevail. I believe that Kuchar provides excellent value at +6500. Unlike at the U.S. Open, Royal Birkdale is not a course where driving distance (one of Kuchar’s weaknesses) will help. He has had a strong season, with four straight top-20 finishes and a fourth place finish at The Masters. If you want to get creative and fade one of the big names, Kuchar is your guy. If you don’t have the stones to take him to win, you could take him to place top-10 at around +600.
Danny Donahue: Justin Thomas (+7000 at 5Dimes)
The last time Royal Birkdale hosted The Open was 2008, when Padraig Harrington took home the Claret Jug. Looking back at Harrington’s 2008 season, I see a lot of similarities to Justin Thomas in 2017. In ‘08, Harrington relied on putting to be successful, ranking 5th with 1.742 putts per hole. This year Thomas has led the pack in putting, averaging 1.695 putts per hole. As similar as their strengths are, both players also have a similar weakness. In Harrington’s 2008 season he hit 59.37% of fairways of the tee, ranking 154th on tour. Thomas has hit 56.06% this season, ranking 166th.
If Harrington’s 2008 victory is any indication of what is and isn’t necessary to win at Royal Birkdale, look for Thomas to make some noise this weekend. Not to mention +7000 is a great price for this year’s leader in top 10 finishes.
Hole in one: Yes -125, No -105
Playoff: Yes +285, No -375
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